WebinarNotes/index.md

# Wiki Index

Content catalog for this vault. Updated after every ingest / query / lint operation that changes the wiki.

See [[overview]] for the top-level synthesis and navigation.

Every wiki page carries a page-type tag under its H1 (`#source`, `#entity`, `#concept`, `#timeline`, `#comparison`, `#query`, `#lint-report`, `#overview`) — see "Tagging Rules" in `CLAUDE.md`.

## Sources

- [[2026-07-14-everything-we-knew-about-software-has-changed]] — Theo Browne (AIE): model eras, think wider, code as throwaway _(raw: Everything we knew about software has changed.md)_
- [[2026-07-14-gap-between-ai-users-irreversible]] — Allie Miller: personal AI OS, foundation docs, skills, proactive workflows _(raw: In 1 Year, the Gap Between AI Users and Everyone Else Will Be Irreversible.md)_
- [[2026-07-14-sebastian-eugene-interview]] — Sebastian + Eugene: harness, team collapse, connections, enterprise reality _(raw: sebastian interview - conclusions and insights.md)_
- [[2026-07-14-skills-based-on-git]] — Konstantin (Sber): git skills as agent memory, harness, agent loops _(raw: Скиллы на базе git — новая память AI-агентов.md)_
- [[2026-07-14-nina-interview]] — Eugene + Nina (HR): transcript > summary, friction not resistance, skills as handoff _(raw: Nina interview.md)_
- [[2026-07-14-yulia-interview]] — Eugene + Yulia (HR lead): levels of AI usage, candidate knowledge base, solve-first _(raw: Yulia interview.md)_
- [[2026-07-21-larysa-interview]] — Eugene + Larysa (BA/PM): memory loss, integration dead-ends, less room for imagination _(raw: Larysa interview.md)_
- [[2026-07-22-ai-is-stupid]] — YouTube short (author unknown): "stupid AI" = model minus context minus harness; Nobel-vs-employee analogy _(raw: ИИ глупый!.md)_
- [[2026-07-24-youre-reading-way-too-much-code]] — Theo Browne (video): make more cheap code, four tiers of code, 100:1 slop-to-ship verification _(raw: You're reading way too much code.md)_
- [[2026-07-28-agentic-engineering-10x-developer]] — Thorsten Ball (AMP): shed weight, orbs/async, Emacsification, internal software; **rejects skills/MCP** _(raw: Agentic Engineering, explained by a 10x developer.md)_
- [[2026-07-29-what-if-we-vibe-code-it]] — YouTube video (author unknown): maintenance is the real cost, internal service = second business, Jira→Linear pendulum, build-vs-buy checklist _(raw: А что если наВайб-Кодить.md)_
- [[2026-07-30-stanford-swepr-widening-gap]] — Stanford SWEPR (research dossier): 46-vs-46 teams DiD, gap 4.8%→19% (4×); ~15–20% net avg gain; gains collapse in large/legacy codebases; +91% PR review time _(raw: Stanford SWEPR - AI and the widening productivity gap.md)_
- [[2026-07-30-rakes-in-ai-sdlc-adoption]] — Nikolai Sheiko (talk): people/companies/metrics throttle real AI gains; review is the new bottleneck; measure tasks-without-rework; developer → agent manager; Agentic Evolution + context-free-subagent skill verification _(raw: Грабли во внедрении ИИ в SDLC.md)_

**All of `raw/sources/` is ingested.** The webinar-deliverable working notes now live in `raw/notes/` (`Ideas for webinar.md` · `Webinar Plan - From Chat Box to Your Own OS.md` · `Webinar script.md` · `my theses.md` · `introduction.md`) — treated as authored deliverables rather than sources, cited as raw where used.

## Entities

### People
- [[theo-browne]] — developer/educator (t3.gg); "think wider", "make more cheap code"
- [[allie-miller]] — ex-Amazon AI leader; personal AI OS
- [[sebastian]] — founder of Virtido; enterprise/connections lens
- [[eugene]] — developer, harness-builder, webinar author; interviewer (likely vault owner, tentative)
- [[konstantin]] — Sber/GigaChat R&D; skills-as-memory
- [[nina]] — HR recruiter at Virtido; webinar-audience proxy, use-case supplier
- [[yulia]] — HR/recruiting lead; webinar organizer (name/affiliation tentative)
- [[larysa]] — technical BA/PM, ex-mobile dev; advanced user blocked by memory + integrations
- [[thorsten-ball]] — founding engineer at AMP; 99% AI-written code, no skills/MCP
- [[nikolai-sheiko]] — AI-adoption practitioner/consultant; review bottleneck, agent-manager shift, Agentic Evolution

### Tools / Orgs
- [[claude-code]] — reference harness (all sources)
- [[amp]] — Sourcegraph's agent; orbs, Oracle/Painter/Puck, vendor-curated harness
- [[hermes]] — skills-first, self-curating harness
- [[virtido]] — Sebastian's outsourcing company; its HR team is the webinar audience
- [[inspectron]] — Eugene's employer (Edge Compute / IoT)
- [[swepr]] — Stanford Software Engineering Productivity Research group (Yegor Denisov-Blanch); the corpus's quantitative outside study

## Concepts

**Machine side**
- [[harness]] — universal agent = LLM + small toolset + loop
- [[skills-as-memory]] — git skills (SKILL.md + tools + data) as agent memory
- [[evolution-of-agent-tooling]] — tools → MCP → skills
- [[agentic-loops]] — inner (ReAct) / outer (Ralph) / meta
- [[context-as-scarce-resource]] — the binding constraint; the "smart zone"
- [[personal-ai-operating-system]] — Allie's context docs + skills + proactive workflows
- [[levels-of-ai-usage]] — Eugene's ladder: chatbot → … → CLAUDE.md + skills (the non-programmer ceiling)
- [[solve-first-then-skillify]] — solve the task once, then freeze it into a skill
- [[integration-dead-ends]] — agent starts work against connectors the user's account doesn't have
- [[leave-less-room-for-imagination]] — every gap in a spec gets filled, invisibly; tighten it
- [[async-by-default]] — orbs/remote sandboxes; one URL = thread + agent + computation + diff; ask for proof

**Human side**
- [[product-ownership]] — own outcomes, frame problems not tickets
- [[connections-as-moat]] — in-person relationships as the last non-commoditized asset
- [[network-from-a-standing-start]] — tentative from-zero networking protocol (v0, to be validated)
- [[seniority-and-the-junior-squeeze]] — judgment as risk-reduction
- [[decoupling-identity-from-profession]] — separate who you are from what you do
- [[developer-as-agent-manager]] — CPU-bound coder → IO-bound manager of agent-employees; Judgment stays human; users vs Agentic Operations

**Strategy side**
- [[think-wider-not-bigger]] — breadth over depth; match ambition to the model
- [[code-as-throwaway]] — cost of code → zero
- [[make-more-cheap-code]] — Theo: four tiers of code; generate never-shipped slop to verify/explore; there's always another layer
- [[enterprise-ai-reality]] — compliance lock-down; the company-managed-harness market
- [[shedding-weight]] — delete what only existed because humans were the bottleneck (backlogs, redundant CI, admin panels)
- [[build-for-the-agent-not-the-human]] — no forms, no admin panels, bring your own agent
- [[emacsification-of-software]] — fork and remix rather than upstream; software becomes bespoke
- [[explosion-of-internal-software]] — the Excel/wiki/hack layer becomes real tools; skill + token budget as the divide
- [[maintenance-is-the-real-cost]] — writing was never the bottleneck; internal service = second business; build-vs-buy checklist
- [[review-is-the-new-bottleneck]] — the SDLC collapses around the humans; review with the agent; measure completed tasks without rework, never LoC/PRs

## Timelines

- [[ai-agent-evolution]] — agent/tooling timeline + Theo's model eras

## Comparisons

- [[theo-konstantin-allie]] — Theo vs Konstantin vs Allie: three lenses (strategy / engineering / personal-OS) on the same shift; shared markdown-as-unit and system-over-model, differing altitude

## Queries

- [[2026-07-14-best-first-skill-for-beginner]] — best first skill for a Claude beginner: skill-creator (meta) + tone-of-voice/anti-AI-language; foundation docs first
- [[2026-07-14-network-from-standing-start]] — network-from-zero: tentative protocol + Sebastian round-2 interview instrument (10 questions)
- [[2026-07-22-webinar-theses]] — _superseded_ → 14 candidate theses (7-source state)
- [[2026-07-28-webinar-theses]] — **v2, current**: 17 theses from all 10 sources; T3 reframed (*authored beats inferred*), verification / shedding-weight / ask-for-15-options added; 30-min cut + gaps in the current script
- [[2026-07-28-verification-beat-design]] — how to add the missing verification beat: checker skill, the "right shelf" ambiguity demo, and the closing what-stays-yours half; drafted script copy
- [[2026-07-24-non-engineer-throwaway-verification]] — non-engineer analog of throwaway verification code: generated checks not content; checker skills; drift as diagnostic
- [[2026-07-30-stanford-widening-gap-source]] — traced the "widening gap" chart (`raw/assets/G6g3O60bkAE05ZW.png`) to Stanford SWEPR / Yegor Denisov-Blanch; first measured support for the irreversible-gap thesis; since ingested as [[2026-07-30-stanford-swepr-widening-gap]]

## Lint Reports

- [[2026-07-28-lint]] — first pass: structurally clean (0 broken links, 0 orphans, 0 template/tag errors); 9 fixes applied (stale `raw/` paths, 4 one-sided contradictions, 2 staleness notes); open: a `taste` concept page, refreshing the webinar theses, weakly-linked query pages